Macro

The emerging versus developed market growth differential held at 2.6 percentage points through 2025. The compounding implications of this sustained economic expansion remain underweighted by most global allocators.

December 2025


Emerging markets and developing economies expanded by 4.1% in 2025 while advanced economies recorded 1.5% growth. This confirmed growth differential translates into a progressively larger economic base for developing nations. An extended period of elevated expansion generates profound secondary effects for both corporate earnings and domestic capital formation.


Institutional portfolios often fail to capture this compounding effect due to structural underweights tied to legacy benchmarks. The divergence in economic trajectories is further supported by proactive monetary policy. Many emerging market central banks successfully navigated recent inflationary cycles with greater agility than their developed market counterparts. This policy discipline has created robust real yields and fortified local currencies against external shocks.


The macroeconomic conditions supporting historical underweights to emerging markets have definitively shifted as the US dollar continues to moderate. Stronger underlying economic fundamentals are now visibly materialising in regional asset performance. The investment challenge requires isolating the specific jurisdictions where these broad dynamics convert directly into actionable entry points.